Metagame tier list — Premodern

Ranks every Challenge-played strategy in the window by a hybrid signal: 75% Wilson-lower-bound match win rate from Challenges and 25% League 5-0 trophy throughput, modulated by a mild presence multiplier so popular decks edge slightly ahead of fringe ones. Leagues stay out of the MWR (every League row is 5-0 by construction) and contribute only through the trophy term. S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window.

14d 30d 60d 90d

1,780 Challenge appearances from 2026-03-15 to 2026-06-13.

S

Dominant, format-warping — must expect, test against, and plan for. Capped at 2 per window; an empty S means no single deck is running the format.

1 deck

Stiflenought

MWR 60.9%over 1,928 matches

Wilson_0.95 58.7% · GW 59.2% · score 0.646

Meta share 17.7% (315 apps)

Trophies: 113

A

Solidly above the field. Reliable Challenge performers, often with steady League trophies too.

10 decks

Enchantress

MWR 60.6%over 739 matches

Wilson_0.95 57.1% · GW 58.6% · score 0.619

Meta share 7.1% (127 apps)

Trophies: 124

Goblins

MWR 56.2%over 1,129 matches

Wilson_0.95 53.3% · GW 55.9% · score 0.581

Meta share 10.3% (184 apps)

Trophies: 78

Standstill

MWR 59.6%over 688 matches

Wilson_0.95 55.9% · GW 57.7% · score 0.562

Meta share 6.6% (118 apps)

Trophies: 44

Sligh

MWR 53.5%over 669 matches

Wilson_0.95 49.7% · GW 52.3% · score 0.559

Meta share 6.7% (120 apps)

Trophies: 100

Moneyball Black

MWR 57.2%over 940 matches

Wilson_0.95 54.0% · GW 55.3% · score 0.554

Meta share 8.7% (154 apps)

Trophies: 44

Replenish

MWR 56.5%over 441 matches

Wilson_0.95 51.8% · GW 56.3% · score 0.536

Meta share 4.2% (75 apps)

Trophies: 51

Terrageddon

MWR 59.3%over 332 matches

Wilson_0.95 54.0% · GW 55.9% · score 0.522

Meta share 3.3% (59 apps)

Trophies: 33

Hermit Druid Combo

MWR 59.2%over 142 matches

Wilson_0.95 50.9% · GW 57.7% · score 0.513

Meta share 1.4% (25 apps)

Trophies: 51

TerraOath

MWR 63.6%over 129 matches

Wilson_0.95 55.0% · GW 57.6% · score 0.500

Meta share 1.3% (24 apps)

Trophies: 24

5 Color Psychatog

MWR 66.0%over 50 matches

Wilson_0.95 52.2% · GW 58.2% · score 0.451

Meta share 0.4% (8 apps)

Trophies: 15

B

Roughly average winrate after sample-size correction.

8 decks

Oath Ponza

MWR 56.7%over 171 matches

Wilson_0.95 49.2% · GW 54.6% · score 0.496

Meta share 1.6% (29 apps)

Trophies: 44

Survival Madness

MWR 56.0%over 293 matches

Wilson_0.95 50.2% · GW 57.0% · score 0.485

Meta share 2.9% (51 apps)

Trophies: 23

Iggy Pop

MWR 58.8%over 291 matches

Wilson_0.95 53.0% · GW 59.9% · score 0.476

Meta share 3.0% (53 apps)

Trophies: 12

Stasis

MWR 53.7%over 296 matches

Wilson_0.95 48.0% · GW 55.3% · score 0.473

Meta share 2.9% (51 apps)

Trophies: 24

UW Aggro

MWR 60.4%over 139 matches

Wilson_0.95 52.1% · GW 59.6% · score 0.460

Meta share 1.2% (21 apps)

Trophies: 13

GR Zoo

MWR 52.5%over 339 matches

Wilson_0.95 47.2% · GW 51.3% · score 0.448

Meta share 3.4% (61 apps)

Trophies: 16

Reanimator

MWR 56.4%over 133 matches

Wilson_0.95 47.9% · GW 55.9% · score 0.444

Meta share 1.4% (25 apps)

Trophies: 16

Rock

MWR 51.8%over 222 matches

Wilson_0.95 45.3% · GW 51.9% · score 0.437

Meta share 2.2% (40 apps)

Trophies: 18

C

Below average but still scored. Stable enough to rank.

10 decks

Gro-A-Tog

MWR 54.9%over 71 matches

Wilson_0.95 43.4% · GW 52.3% · score 0.418

Meta share 0.7% (12 apps)

Trophies: 21

UW Control

MWR 50.0%over 88 matches

Wilson_0.95 39.8% · GW 48.2% · score 0.408

Meta share 1.0% (17 apps)

Trophies: 27

GW Madness

MWR 53.3%over 92 matches

Wilson_0.95 43.1% · GW 54.2% · score 0.402

Meta share 1.0% (17 apps)

Trophies: 13

Orzhov Control

MWR 54.0%over 174 matches

Wilson_0.95 46.6% · GW 54.1% · score 0.397

Meta share 1.6% (29 apps)

Trophies: 6

UB Psychatog

MWR 46.9%over 98 matches

Wilson_0.95 37.4% · GW 50.1% · score 0.393

Meta share 1.0% (18 apps)

Trophies: 24

Frantic Storm

MWR 57.3%over 75 matches

Wilson_0.95 46.1% · GW 56.1% · score 0.385

Meta share 0.6% (11 apps)

Trophies: 6

BG Survival

MWR 50.0%over 90 matches

Wilson_0.95 39.9% · GW 50.6% · score 0.383

Meta share 1.0% (17 apps)

Trophies: 14

Elves

MWR 47.8%over 46 matches

Wilson_0.95 34.1% · GW 46.9% · score 0.374

Meta share 0.4% (8 apps)

Trophies: 31

Devourer Combo

MWR 58.1%over 62 matches

Wilson_0.95 45.7% · GW 55.8% · score 0.353

Meta share 0.6% (10 apps)

Trophies: 3

Cradle Control

MWR 48.5%over 33 matches

Wilson_0.95 32.5% · GW 51.6% · score 0.352

Meta share 0.4% (7 apps)

Trophies: 22

Fringe / insufficient data

Insufficient sample — under 30 Challenge matches in the window (or below the 0.35 score floor) but at least 1% of meta share. Surfaced for visibility — not ranked.

1 deck

Dream Halls

MWR 56.1%over 114 matches

Wilson_0.95 47.0% · GW 55.0% · score 0.338

Meta share 1.2% (22 apps)

Trophies: 1

Methodology. mixed = 0.75 × Wilson_0.95(matchWins, matchWins + matchLosses) + 0.25 × log1p(trophies)/log1p(formatMaxTrophies); score = mixed × (0.85 + 0.15 × log1p(meta%·100)/log1p(100)). S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window, and an empty S is a real signal that no single deck is running the format. A/B/C are 0.50 / 0.42 / 0.35 score floors. Anything under 30 Challenge matches drops to Unranked regardless of WR. A "notable niche" override promotes any deck with raw MWR ≥ 0.60 over 30+ matches to at least B (≥ 0.65 over 50+ matches to A), so genuinely strong but low-share decks like Premodern Replenish aren't penalized for sample size; the override never promotes to S. Records from Leagues stay out of the MWR — every League row is 5-0 by construction and would skew every Wilson interval upward — they contribute only through the trophy term.