◈Decklist Data

Metagame tier list — Modern

Ranks every Challenge-played strategy in the window by a hybrid signal: 75% Wilson-lower-bound match win rate from Challenges and 25% League 5-0 trophy throughput, modulated by a mild presence multiplier so popular decks edge slightly ahead of fringe ones. Leagues stay out of the MWR (every League row is 5-0 by construction) and contribute only through the trophy term. S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window.

14d30d60d90d
5,201 Challenge appearances from 2026-03-15 to 2026-06-13.

S

Dominant, format-warping — must expect, test against, and plan for. Capped at 2 per window; an empty S means no single deck is running the format.

2 decks
Energy
MWR 64.1%over 5,558 matches

Wilson0.95 62.9% · GW 59.0% · score 0.675

Meta share 17.8% (928 apps)

Trophies: 653
Affinity
MWR 65.1%over 2,564 matches

Wilson0.95 63.2% · GW 61.4% · score 0.650

Meta share 8.3% (433 apps)

Trophies: 459

A

Solidly above the field. Reliable Challenge performers, often with steady League trophies too.

27 decks
Blink
MWR 64.1%over 3,203 matches

Wilson0.95 62.4% · GW 59.1% · score 0.635

Meta share 9.8% (512 apps)

Trophies: 334
Prowess
MWR 64.9%over 1,506 matches

Wilson0.95 62.4% · GW 60.1% · score 0.617

Meta share 4.8% (251 apps)

Trophies: 294
Broodscale Combo
MWR 67.5%over 977 matches

Wilson0.95 64.4% · GW 63.4% · score 0.603

Meta share 3.0% (154 apps)

Trophies: 166
Amulet Titan
MWR 67.4%over 1,270 matches

Wilson0.95 64.8% · GW 62.1% · score 0.598

Meta share 4.1% (212 apps)

Trophies: 120
Eldrazi Tron
MWR 62.8%over 1,245 matches

Wilson0.95 60.1% · GW 59.0% · score 0.595

Meta share 3.9% (204 apps)

Trophies: 265
Goryo's Vengeance
MWR 65.2%over 1,294 matches

Wilson0.95 62.6% · GW 60.3% · score 0.591

Meta share 4.1% (214 apps)

Trophies: 145
Storm
MWR 63.4%over 1,378 matches

Wilson0.95 60.8% · GW 60.0% · score 0.581

Meta share 4.5% (235 apps)

Trophies: 139
Living End
MWR 65.7%over 918 matches

Wilson0.95 62.6% · GW 61.4% · score 0.581

Meta share 3.1% (161 apps)

Trophies: 122
Domain Zoo
MWR 64.5%over 903 matches

Wilson0.95 61.3% · GW 59.6% · score 0.575

Meta share 2.8% (146 apps)

Trophies: 143
Grixis Persist
MWR 63.1%over 1,156 matches

Wilson0.95 60.2% · GW 58.9% · score 0.573

Meta share 3.6% (186 apps)

Trophies: 144
Mono-Blue Belcher
MWR 67.7%over 743 matches

Wilson0.95 64.3% · GW 62.5% · score 0.571

Meta share 2.4% (124 apps)

Trophies: 77
Boros Land Destruction
MWR 64.0%over 751 matches

Wilson0.95 60.6% · GW 58.7% · score 0.568

Meta share 2.5% (128 apps)

Trophies: 146
Birthing Ritual
MWR 67.8%over 348 matches

Wilson0.95 62.7% · GW 62.4% · score 0.567

Meta share 1.2% (63 apps)

Trophies: 121
Eldrazi Ramp
MWR 64.6%over 610 matches

Wilson0.95 60.7% · GW 59.5% · score 0.563

Meta share 1.9% (100 apps)

Trophies: 134
Yawgmoth
MWR 69.5%over 341 matches

Wilson0.95 64.4% · GW 64.4% · score 0.560

Meta share 1.2% (60 apps)

Trophies: 71
UW Control
MWR 65.1%over 764 matches

Wilson0.95 61.6% · GW 60.8% · score 0.545

Meta share 2.2% (117 apps)

Trophies: 60
Esper Control
MWR 62.9%over 509 matches

Wilson0.95 58.6% · GW 60.4% · score 0.536

Meta share 1.7% (87 apps)

Trophies: 86
Neoform
MWR 62.7%over 675 matches

Wilson0.95 59.0% · GW 59.2% · score 0.530

Meta share 2.3% (120 apps)

Trophies: 61
Izzet Steel-Cutter
MWR 66.7%over 291 matches

Wilson0.95 61.1% · GW 62.2% · score 0.525

Meta share 0.9% (46 apps)

Trophies: 51
Necrodominance
MWR 64.0%over 339 matches

Wilson0.95 58.8% · GW 59.5% · score 0.525

Meta share 1.0% (54 apps)

Trophies: 76
Samwise Combo
MWR 66.3%over 199 matches

Wilson0.95 59.5% · GW 61.5% · score 0.521

Meta share 0.7% (34 apps)

Trophies: 68
Frog
MWR 60.9%over 353 matches

Wilson0.95 55.7% · GW 57.8% · score 0.518

Meta share 1.1% (57 apps)

Trophies: 103
Fanatic Eldrazi
MWR 69.7%over 142 matches

Wilson0.95 61.7% · GW 60.7% · score 0.503

Meta share 0.4% (23 apps)

Trophies: 32
Persist
MWR 66.3%over 104 matches

Wilson0.95 56.8% · GW 62.7% · score 0.463

Meta share 0.3% (16 apps)

Trophies: 21
Jeskai Control
MWR 66.1%over 112 matches

Wilson0.95 56.9% · GW 61.3% · score 0.437

Meta share 0.4% (19 apps)

Trophies: 9
RG Valakut
MWR 66.7%over 69 matches

Wilson0.95 54.9% · GW 61.7% · score 0.415

Meta share 0.2% (12 apps)

Trophies: 7
Mono-Black Eldrazi
MWR 65.4%over 78 matches

Wilson0.95 54.3% · GW 57.9% · score 0.377

Meta share 0.3% (16 apps)

Trophies: 2

B

Roughly average winrate after sample-size correction.

10 decks
Grixis Control
MWR 62.4%over 343 matches

Wilson0.95 57.2% · GW 58.9% · score 0.489

Meta share 1.1% (56 apps)

Trophies: 33
Burn
MWR 62.4%over 189 matches

Wilson0.95 55.3% · GW 59.1% · score 0.478

Meta share 0.7% (37 apps)

Trophies: 38
Hollow One
MWR 60.5%over 157 matches

Wilson0.95 52.7% · GW 57.6% · score 0.472

Meta share 0.6% (29 apps)

Trophies: 55
Boros Belcher
MWR 61.0%over 218 matches

Wilson0.95 54.4% · GW 58.7% · score 0.459

Meta share 0.7% (35 apps)

Trophies: 25
Crashing Footfalls
MWR 63.7%over 124 matches

Wilson0.95 55.0% · GW 58.4% · score 0.459

Meta share 0.5% (24 apps)

Trophies: 27
Cosmogoyf
MWR 62.3%over 154 matches

Wilson0.95 54.5% · GW 56.9% · score 0.457

Meta share 0.4% (23 apps)

Trophies: 28
Wizards
MWR 63.1%over 111 matches

Wilson0.95 53.8% · GW 59.1% · score 0.454

Meta share 0.3% (17 apps)

Trophies: 29
Dredge
MWR 62.1%over 116 matches

Wilson0.95 53.0% · GW 61.4% · score 0.435

Meta share 0.4% (20 apps)

Trophies: 16
Mill
MWR 60.7%over 107 matches

Wilson0.95 51.3% · GW 58.2% · score 0.429

Meta share 0.3% (18 apps)

Trophies: 21
Death's Shadow
MWR 60.3%over 68 matches

Wilson0.95 48.4% · GW 57.5% · score 0.392

Meta share 0.2% (12 apps)

Trophies: 12

C

Below average but still scored. Stable enough to rank.

4 decks
Indomitable Creativity
MWR 58.3%over 120 matches

Wilson0.95 49.4% · GW 54.2% · score 0.412

Meta share 0.5% (24 apps)

Trophies: 18
Hammer Time
MWR 59.7%over 72 matches

Wilson0.95 48.2% · GW 54.9% · score 0.395

Meta share 0.3% (14 apps)

Trophies: 15
4 Color Omnath
MWR 56.4%over 94 matches

Wilson0.95 46.3% · GW 53.7% · score 0.389

Meta share 0.3% (16 apps)

Trophies: 16
Eldrazi Aggro
MWR 53.7%over 54 matches

Wilson0.95 40.6% · GW 52.1% · score 0.359

Meta share 0.2% (11 apps)

Trophies: 20

Fringe / insufficient data

Insufficient sample — under 30 Challenge matches in the window (or below the 0.35 score floor) but at least 1% of meta share. Surfaced for visibility — not ranked.

1 deck
Rogue
MWR 57.9%over 423 matches

Wilson0.95 53.2% · GW 55.0% · score 0.502

Meta share 1.5% (76 apps)

Trophies: 96

Methodology. mixed = 0.75 × Wilson0.95(matchWins, matchWins + matchLosses) + 0.25 × log1p(trophies)/log1p(formatMaxTrophies); score = mixed × (0.85 + 0.15 × log1p(meta%·100)/log1p(100)). S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window, and an empty S is a real signal that no single deck is running the format. A/B/C are 0.50 / 0.42 / 0.35 score floors. Anything under 30 Challenge matches drops to Unranked regardless of WR. A "notable niche" override promotes any deck with raw MWR ≥ 0.60 over 30+ matches to at least B (≥ 0.65 over 50+ matches to A), so genuinely strong but low-share decks like Premodern Replenish aren't penalized for sample size; the override never promotes to S. Records from Leagues stay out of the MWR — every League row is 5-0 by construction and would skew every Wilson interval upward — they contribute only through the trophy term.