◈Decklist Data

Metagame tier list — Modern

Ranks every Challenge-played strategy in the window by a hybrid signal: 75% Wilson-lower-bound match win rate from Challenges and 25% League 5-0 trophy throughput, modulated by a mild presence multiplier so popular decks edge slightly ahead of fringe ones. Leagues stay out of the MWR (every League row is 5-0 by construction) and contribute only through the trophy term. S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window.

14d30d60d90d
3,491 Challenge appearances from 2026-04-14 to 2026-06-13.

S

Dominant, format-warping — must expect, test against, and plan for. Capped at 2 per window; an empty S means no single deck is running the format.

2 decks
Energy
MWR 64.0%over 3,054 matches

Wilson0.95 62.3% · GW 58.8% · score 0.667

Meta share 15.3% (534 apps)

Trophies: 414
Affinity
MWR 64.3%over 1,688 matches

Wilson0.95 62.0% · GW 61.2% · score 0.645

Meta share 8.5% (298 apps)

Trophies: 309

A

Solidly above the field. Reliable Challenge performers, often with steady League trophies too.

26 decks
Prowess
MWR 65.1%over 1,082 matches

Wilson0.95 62.2% · GW 59.9% · score 0.624

Meta share 5.2% (181 apps)

Trophies: 242
Broodscale Combo
MWR 68.3%over 811 matches

Wilson0.95 65.0% · GW 64.2% · score 0.619

Meta share 3.6% (127 apps)

Trophies: 146
Blink
MWR 62.0%over 1,509 matches

Wilson0.95 59.6% · GW 57.2% · score 0.608

Meta share 7.5% (261 apps)

Trophies: 209
Living End
MWR 66.6%over 637 matches

Wilson0.95 62.8% · GW 61.4% · score 0.585

Meta share 3.3% (114 apps)

Trophies: 95
Goryo's Vengeance
MWR 65.1%over 909 matches

Wilson0.95 62.0% · GW 60.4% · score 0.585

Meta share 4.4% (152 apps)

Trophies: 95
Boros Land Destruction
MWR 63.7%over 702 matches

Wilson0.95 60.1% · GW 58.6% · score 0.580

Meta share 3.4% (120 apps)

Trophies: 132
Grixis Persist
MWR 63.1%over 950 matches

Wilson0.95 59.9% · GW 58.8% · score 0.579

Meta share 4.4% (154 apps)

Trophies: 115
Storm
MWR 63.9%over 949 matches

Wilson0.95 60.7% · GW 60.9% · score 0.579

Meta share 4.8% (167 apps)

Trophies: 90
Eldrazi Tron
MWR 61.8%over 660 matches

Wilson0.95 58.1% · GW 58.1% · score 0.577

Meta share 3.2% (113 apps)

Trophies: 174
Amulet Titan
MWR 66.5%over 738 matches

Wilson0.95 63.0% · GW 60.8% · score 0.577

Meta share 3.8% (131 apps)

Trophies: 69
Domain Zoo
MWR 62.9%over 636 matches

Wilson0.95 59.1% · GW 58.6% · score 0.561

Meta share 3.1% (107 apps)

Trophies: 97
Yawgmoth
MWR 70.1%over 264 matches

Wilson0.95 64.3% · GW 65.3% · score 0.560

Meta share 1.3% (47 apps)

Trophies: 51
Eldrazi Ramp
MWR 63.8%over 486 matches

Wilson0.95 59.4% · GW 58.7% · score 0.560

Meta share 2.4% (83 apps)

Trophies: 100
Mono-Blue Belcher
MWR 67.1%over 480 matches

Wilson0.95 62.8% · GW 62.2% · score 0.558

Meta share 2.4% (83 apps)

Trophies: 51
Birthing Ritual
MWR 67.8%over 205 matches

Wilson0.95 61.1% · GW 61.3% · score 0.554

Meta share 1.2% (42 apps)

Trophies: 85
UW Control
MWR 66.5%over 462 matches

Wilson0.95 62.0% · GW 61.5% · score 0.542

Meta share 2.0% (70 apps)

Trophies: 41
Necrodominance
MWR 65.7%over 283 matches

Wilson0.95 60.0% · GW 60.6% · score 0.531

Meta share 1.3% (45 apps)

Trophies: 51
Esper Control
MWR 62.4%over 362 matches

Wilson0.95 57.3% · GW 60.5% · score 0.526

Meta share 1.9% (65 apps)

Trophies: 56
Fanatic Eldrazi
MWR 69.7%over 142 matches

Wilson0.95 61.7% · GW 60.7% · score 0.514

Meta share 0.7% (23 apps)

Trophies: 32
Samwise Combo
MWR 65.5%over 168 matches

Wilson0.95 58.0% · GW 60.1% · score 0.514

Meta share 0.9% (30 apps)

Trophies: 52
Frog
MWR 60.4%over 250 matches

Wilson0.95 54.2% · GW 57.6% · score 0.512

Meta share 1.1% (40 apps)

Trophies: 82
Izzet Steel-Cutter
MWR 66.9%over 151 matches

Wilson0.95 59.0% · GW 64.0% · score 0.503

Meta share 0.7% (26 apps)

Trophies: 29
Persist
MWR 66.3%over 104 matches

Wilson0.95 56.8% · GW 62.7% · score 0.473

Meta share 0.5% (16 apps)

Trophies: 21
Jeskai Control
MWR 66.7%over 105 matches

Wilson0.95 57.2% · GW 61.9% · score 0.447

Meta share 0.5% (18 apps)

Trophies: 9
RG Valakut
MWR 66.7%over 69 matches

Wilson0.95 54.9% · GW 61.7% · score 0.422

Meta share 0.3% (12 apps)

Trophies: 7
Mono-Black Eldrazi
MWR 65.4%over 78 matches

Wilson0.95 54.3% · GW 57.9% · score 0.366

Meta share 0.5% (16 apps)

Trophies: 1

B

Roughly average winrate after sample-size correction.

9 decks
Neoform
MWR 60.9%over 327 matches

Wilson0.95 55.5% · GW 58.4% · score 0.496

Meta share 1.8% (63 apps)

Trophies: 36
Burn
MWR 62.8%over 183 matches

Wilson0.95 55.6% · GW 59.5% · score 0.485

Meta share 1.0% (36 apps)

Trophies: 31
Cosmogoyf
MWR 63.9%over 147 matches

Wilson0.95 55.9% · GW 58.0% · score 0.476

Meta share 0.6% (21 apps)

Trophies: 28
Crashing Footfalls
MWR 63.7%over 124 matches

Wilson0.95 55.0% · GW 58.4% · score 0.468

Meta share 0.7% (24 apps)

Trophies: 26
Boros Belcher
MWR 61.5%over 205 matches

Wilson0.95 54.6% · GW 59.0% · score 0.467

Meta share 0.9% (33 apps)

Trophies: 22
Dredge
MWR 62.1%over 116 matches

Wilson0.95 53.0% · GW 61.4% · score 0.435

Meta share 0.6% (20 apps)

Trophies: 12
Hollow One
MWR 56.5%over 69 matches

Wilson0.95 44.8% · GW 54.9% · score 0.424

Meta share 0.5% (16 apps)

Trophies: 44
Wizards
MWR 59.7%over 72 matches

Wilson0.95 48.2% · GW 56.9% · score 0.420

Meta share 0.3% (12 apps)

Trophies: 23
Hammer Time
MWR 65.1%over 43 matches

Wilson0.95 50.2% · GW 60.2% · score 0.403

Meta share 0.3% (9 apps)

Trophies: 11

C

Below average but still scored. Stable enough to rank.

3 decks
Grixis Control
MWR 57.1%over 133 matches

Wilson0.95 48.6% · GW 55.5% · score 0.411

Meta share 0.7% (23 apps)

Trophies: 14
Mill
MWR 59.3%over 81 matches

Wilson0.95 48.4% · GW 58.9% · score 0.402

Meta share 0.4% (13 apps)

Trophies: 12
Indomitable Creativity
MWR 56.4%over 55 matches

Wilson0.95 43.3% · GW 50.9% · score 0.358

Meta share 0.3% (12 apps)

Trophies: 10

Fringe / insufficient data

Insufficient sample — under 30 Challenge matches in the window (or below the 0.35 score floor) but at least 1% of meta share. Surfaced for visibility — not ranked.

1 deck
Rogue
MWR 55.5%over 299 matches

Wilson0.95 49.9% · GW 52.9% · score 0.478

Meta share 1.6% (56 apps)

Trophies: 64

Methodology. mixed = 0.75 × Wilson0.95(matchWins, matchWins + matchLosses) + 0.25 × log1p(trophies)/log1p(formatMaxTrophies); score = mixed × (0.85 + 0.15 × log1p(meta%·100)/log1p(100)). S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window, and an empty S is a real signal that no single deck is running the format. A/B/C are 0.50 / 0.42 / 0.35 score floors. Anything under 30 Challenge matches drops to Unranked regardless of WR. A "notable niche" override promotes any deck with raw MWR ≥ 0.60 over 30+ matches to at least B (≥ 0.65 over 50+ matches to A), so genuinely strong but low-share decks like Premodern Replenish aren't penalized for sample size; the override never promotes to S. Records from Leagues stay out of the MWR — every League row is 5-0 by construction and would skew every Wilson interval upward — they contribute only through the trophy term.