Metagame tier list — Legacy
Ranks every Challenge-played strategy in the window by a hybrid signal: 75% Wilson-lower-bound match win rate from Challenges and 25% League 5-0 trophy throughput, modulated by a mild presence multiplier so popular decks edge slightly ahead of fringe ones. Leagues stay out of the MWR (every League row is 5-0 by construction) and contribute only through the trophy term. S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window.
S
Dominant, format-warping — must expect, test against, and plan for. Capped at 2 per window; an empty S means no single deck is running the format.
No deck is dominating this format right now — nothing clears all four S gates.
A
Solidly above the field. Reliable Challenge performers, often with steady League trophies too.
Wilson0.95 57.9% · GW 58.2% · score 0.633
Meta share 12.3% (332 apps)
Wilson0.95 56.5% · GW 56.5% · score 0.627
Meta share 12.7% (343 apps)
Wilson0.95 56.9% · GW 57.6% · score 0.602
Meta share 8.5% (229 apps)
Wilson0.95 54.1% · GW 55.1% · score 0.579
Meta share 6.8% (183 apps)
Wilson0.95 55.9% · GW 58.6% · score 0.576
Meta share 3.3% (90 apps)
Wilson0.95 54.4% · GW 56.1% · score 0.570
Meta share 6.0% (163 apps)
Wilson0.95 54.4% · GW 57.9% · score 0.567
Meta share 3.4% (92 apps)
Wilson0.95 54.7% · GW 57.6% · score 0.556
Meta share 5.2% (141 apps)
Wilson0.95 55.1% · GW 58.1% · score 0.553
Meta share 3.2% (87 apps)
Wilson0.95 52.9% · GW 56.2% · score 0.549
Meta share 6.0% (161 apps)
Wilson0.95 55.5% · GW 58.7% · score 0.541
Meta share 3.1% (83 apps)
Wilson0.95 54.6% · GW 55.8% · score 0.527
Meta share 2.9% (79 apps)
Wilson0.95 52.3% · GW 57.2% · score 0.519
Meta share 2.5% (68 apps)
Wilson0.95 51.9% · GW 55.3% · score 0.517
Meta share 2.7% (73 apps)
Wilson0.95 52.8% · GW 58.8% · score 0.517
Meta share 1.0% (26 apps)
Wilson0.95 50.8% · GW 56.6% · score 0.510
Meta share 1.9% (50 apps)
Wilson0.95 53.9% · GW 57.6% · score 0.507
Meta share 1.9% (52 apps)
B
Roughly average winrate after sample-size correction.
Wilson0.95 53.6% · GW 56.2% · score 0.499
Meta share 2.0% (53 apps)
Wilson0.95 52.8% · GW 57.4% · score 0.481
Meta share 1.2% (32 apps)
Wilson0.95 50.6% · GW 57.1% · score 0.466
Meta share 1.1% (31 apps)
Wilson0.95 45.9% · GW 51.9% · score 0.455
Meta share 1.8% (49 apps)
Wilson0.95 48.6% · GW 55.7% · score 0.447
Meta share 1.2% (32 apps)
Wilson0.95 50.3% · GW 55.3% · score 0.415
Meta share 0.6% (15 apps)
Wilson0.95 48.8% · GW 68.6% · score 0.361
Meta share 0.2% (5 apps)
C
Below average but still scored. Stable enough to rank.
Wilson0.95 43.8% · GW 52.9% · score 0.410
Meta share 0.7% (18 apps)
Wilson0.95 36.7% · GW 53.4% · score 0.373
Meta share 0.3% (8 apps)
Wilson0.95 40.8% · GW 52.6% · score 0.363
Meta share 0.4% (11 apps)
Wilson0.95 39.3% · GW 53.8% · score 0.359
Meta share 0.6% (16 apps)
Wilson0.95 41.4% · GW 52.2% · score 0.357
Meta share 0.5% (13 apps)
Fringe / insufficient data
Insufficient sample — under 30 Challenge matches in the window (or below the 0.35 score floor) but at least 1% of meta share. Surfaced for visibility — not ranked.
Wilson0.95 40.5% · GW 48.8% · score 0.412
Meta share 1.1% (30 apps)
Methodology. mixed = 0.75 × Wilson0.95(matchWins, matchWins + matchLosses) + 0.25 × log1p(trophies)/log1p(formatMaxTrophies); score = mixed × (0.85 + 0.15 × log1p(meta%·100)/log1p(100)). S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window, and an empty S is a real signal that no single deck is running the format. A/B/C are 0.50 / 0.42 / 0.35 score floors. Anything under 30 Challenge matches drops to Unranked regardless of WR. A "notable niche" override promotes any deck with raw MWR ≥ 0.60 over 30+ matches to at least B (≥ 0.65 over 50+ matches to A), so genuinely strong but low-share decks like Premodern Replenish aren't penalized for sample size; the override never promotes to S. Records from Leagues stay out of the MWR — every League row is 5-0 by construction and would skew every Wilson interval upward — they contribute only through the trophy term.