Metagame tier list — Legacy
Ranks every Challenge-played strategy in the window by a hybrid signal: 75% Wilson-lower-bound match win rate from Challenges and 25% League 5-0 trophy throughput, modulated by a mild presence multiplier so popular decks edge slightly ahead of fringe ones. Leagues stay out of the MWR (every League row is 5-0 by construction) and contribute only through the trophy term. S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window.
S
Dominant, format-warping — must expect, test against, and plan for. Capped at 2 per window; an empty S means no single deck is running the format.
No deck is dominating this format right now — nothing clears all four S gates.
A
Solidly above the field. Reliable Challenge performers, often with steady League trophies too.
Wilson0.95 50.4% · GW 54.3% · score 0.592
Meta share 17.9% (63 apps)
Wilson0.95 51.0% · GW 56.2% · score 0.566
Meta share 10.5% (37 apps)
Wilson0.95 47.3% · GW 54.8% · score 0.542
Meta share 7.4% (26 apps)
Wilson0.95 50.6% · GW 57.5% · score 0.540
Meta share 3.4% (12 apps)
Wilson0.95 48.0% · GW 58.1% · score 0.536
Meta share 6.3% (22 apps)
Wilson0.95 45.3% · GW 53.5% · score 0.512
Meta share 5.7% (20 apps)
Wilson0.95 52.6% · GW 62.2% · score 0.503
Meta share 3.1% (11 apps)
Wilson0.95 52.0% · GW 64.2% · score 0.501
Meta share 1.4% (5 apps)
B
Roughly average winrate after sample-size correction.
Wilson0.95 47.8% · GW 57.4% · score 0.496
Meta share 4.3% (15 apps)
Wilson0.95 45.5% · GW 53.4% · score 0.488
Meta share 8.8% (31 apps)
Wilson0.95 46.0% · GW 55.9% · score 0.462
Meta share 2.6% (9 apps)
Wilson0.95 47.5% · GW 58.3% · score 0.458
Meta share 2.6% (9 apps)
Wilson0.95 36.3% · GW 49.3% · score 0.456
Meta share 3.7% (13 apps)
C
Below average but still scored. Stable enough to rank.
Wilson0.95 34.3% · GW 53.2% · score 0.416
Meta share 2.3% (8 apps)
Wilson0.95 36.8% · GW 50.4% · score 0.391
Meta share 2.8% (10 apps)
Wilson0.95 40.9% · GW 52.0% · score 0.385
Meta share 1.7% (6 apps)
Fringe / insufficient data
Insufficient sample — under 30 Challenge matches in the window (or below the 0.35 score floor) but at least 1% of meta share. Surfaced for visibility — not ranked.
Wilson0.95 38.8% · GW 60.0% · score 0.351
Meta share 1.1% (4 apps)
Wilson0.95 33.0% · GW 52.2% · score 0.338
Meta share 1.1% (4 apps)
Wilson0.95 28.4% · GW 49.9% · score 0.313
Meta share 1.4% (5 apps)
Wilson0.95 28.3% · GW 49.0% · score 0.309
Meta share 1.1% (4 apps)
Wilson0.95 33.4% · GW 45.9% · score 0.264
Meta share 1.7% (6 apps)
Methodology. mixed = 0.75 × Wilson0.95(matchWins, matchWins + matchLosses) + 0.25 × log1p(trophies)/log1p(formatMaxTrophies); score = mixed × (0.85 + 0.15 × log1p(meta%·100)/log1p(100)). S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window, and an empty S is a real signal that no single deck is running the format. A/B/C are 0.50 / 0.42 / 0.35 score floors. Anything under 30 Challenge matches drops to Unranked regardless of WR. A "notable niche" override promotes any deck with raw MWR ≥ 0.60 over 30+ matches to at least B (≥ 0.65 over 50+ matches to A), so genuinely strong but low-share decks like Premodern Replenish aren't penalized for sample size; the override never promotes to S. Records from Leagues stay out of the MWR — every League row is 5-0 by construction and would skew every Wilson interval upward — they contribute only through the trophy term.