Metagame tier list — Legacy
Ranks every Challenge-played strategy in the window by a hybrid signal: 75% Wilson-lower-bound match win rate from Challenges and 25% League 5-0 trophy throughput, modulated by a mild presence multiplier so popular decks edge slightly ahead of fringe ones. Leagues stay out of the MWR (every League row is 5-0 by construction) and contribute only through the trophy term. S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window.
S
Dominant, format-warping — must expect, test against, and plan for. Capped at 2 per window; an empty S means no single deck is running the format.
No deck is dominating this format right now — nothing clears all four S gates.
A
Solidly above the field. Reliable Challenge performers, often with steady League trophies too.
Wilson0.95 56.1% · GW 57.1% · score 0.619
Meta share 13.1% (231 apps)
Wilson0.95 53.8% · GW 55.6% · score 0.608
Meta share 11.7% (205 apps)
Wilson0.95 54.3% · GW 55.1% · score 0.594
Meta share 8.9% (156 apps)
Wilson0.95 54.7% · GW 56.4% · score 0.582
Meta share 8.5% (150 apps)
Wilson0.95 55.4% · GW 59.3% · score 0.579
Meta share 3.8% (66 apps)
Wilson0.95 55.3% · GW 58.3% · score 0.570
Meta share 6.3% (111 apps)
Wilson0.95 52.1% · GW 55.2% · score 0.554
Meta share 5.6% (98 apps)
Wilson0.95 51.3% · GW 55.9% · score 0.553
Meta share 3.8% (66 apps)
Wilson0.95 53.8% · GW 56.1% · score 0.528
Meta share 3.0% (53 apps)
Wilson0.95 51.5% · GW 54.9% · score 0.524
Meta share 3.2% (56 apps)
Wilson0.95 52.2% · GW 57.5% · score 0.519
Meta share 2.8% (49 apps)
Wilson0.95 52.2% · GW 58.6% · score 0.518
Meta share 2.7% (47 apps)
Wilson0.95 50.3% · GW 55.9% · score 0.503
Meta share 2.5% (44 apps)
Wilson0.95 53.7% · GW 59.2% · score 0.503
Meta share 1.9% (34 apps)
B
Roughly average winrate after sample-size correction.
Wilson0.95 50.1% · GW 58.5% · score 0.496
Meta share 1.3% (22 apps)
Wilson0.95 47.8% · GW 54.2% · score 0.494
Meta share 4.3% (76 apps)
Wilson0.95 46.8% · GW 56.0% · score 0.487
Meta share 1.2% (21 apps)
Wilson0.95 51.6% · GW 55.3% · score 0.474
Meta share 1.8% (31 apps)
Wilson0.95 51.7% · GW 58.6% · score 0.457
Meta share 1.4% (24 apps)
Wilson0.95 46.8% · GW 53.0% · score 0.448
Meta share 1.5% (27 apps)
Wilson0.95 46.2% · GW 55.8% · score 0.428
Meta share 0.7% (12 apps)
Wilson0.95 49.9% · GW 55.6% · score 0.418
Meta share 0.7% (13 apps)
Wilson0.95 46.3% · GW 58.2% · score 0.402
Meta share 0.5% (9 apps)
C
Below average but still scored. Stable enough to rank.
Wilson0.95 46.3% · GW 55.9% · score 0.413
Meta share 1.0% (18 apps)
Wilson0.95 40.8% · GW 53.3% · score 0.359
Meta share 0.4% (7 apps)
Wilson0.95 37.9% · GW 56.2% · score 0.356
Meta share 0.6% (10 apps)
Methodology. mixed = 0.75 × Wilson0.95(matchWins, matchWins + matchLosses) + 0.25 × log1p(trophies)/log1p(formatMaxTrophies); score = mixed × (0.85 + 0.15 × log1p(meta%·100)/log1p(100)). S is reserved for decks with Wilson lower-bound ≥ 58%, ≥ 200 matches, ≥ 5% meta share, and composite ≥ 0.62 — at most 2 per window, and an empty S is a real signal that no single deck is running the format. A/B/C are 0.50 / 0.42 / 0.35 score floors. Anything under 30 Challenge matches drops to Unranked regardless of WR. A "notable niche" override promotes any deck with raw MWR ≥ 0.60 over 30+ matches to at least B (≥ 0.65 over 50+ matches to A), so genuinely strong but low-share decks like Premodern Replenish aren't penalized for sample size; the override never promotes to S. Records from Leagues stay out of the MWR — every League row is 5-0 by construction and would skew every Wilson interval upward — they contribute only through the trophy term.