Vintage Paradoxical Outcome
Meta
Colors
Shift
Variability
Paradoxical Outcome has slipped from ~8.8% to 4.3% of the Vintage metagame over the last 90 days.
Meta share, last 90 days
Slipped from ~8.8% to 4.3% · trend line is 3-week smoothed
Approaches, last 90 days
Weekly breakdown of lists by automatically detected approach
Rising Paradoxical Outcome cards
Cards gaining share within Paradoxical Outcome vs the prior 14 days, adjusted for format-wide play rate.
Maindeck
| Card | Was | Now | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Force of Negation | New | 36% | +36.4% |
| Hurkyl's Recall | New | 27% | +27.3% |
| Talon Gates of Madara | 25% | 73% | +47.7% |
| Lodestone Golem | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| Otawara, Soaring City | 25% | 45% | +20.5% |
| The Fantasticar | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| Lotus Petal | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| City of Traitors | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| Mox Opal | 33% | 45% | +12.1% |
| Manifold Key | 42% | 64% | +22% |
| Gitaxian Probe | 17% | 27% | +10.6% |
Sideboard
| Card | Was | Now | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Time Vault | New | 27% | +27.3% |
| Urza's Saga | New | 27% | +27.3% |
| Mental Misstep | New | 27% | +27.3% |
| Pithing Needle | 42% | 73% | +31.1% |
| Grafdigger's Cage | 33% | 73% | +39.4% |
| Hurkyl's Recall | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| Tormod's Crypt | 33% | 45% | +12.1% |
| Mycosynth Lattice | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| Wurmcoil Engine | 58% | 73% | +14.4% |
| Force of Negation | 17% | 27% | +10.6% |
| Dismember | 17% | 27% | +10.6% |
| Talon Gates of Madara | 75% | 82% | +6.8% |
Typical Vintage Paradoxical Outcome maindeck cards
Maindeck adoption across 160 decklists in the last 90 days. Click a row to filter decklists.
| Card | Avg copies | % |
|---|---|---|
| Black Lotus | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mana Crypt | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mana Vault | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mox Jet | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mox Pearl | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mox Ruby | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mox Sapphire | 1.0 | 100% |
| Paradoxical Outcome | 3.1 | 100% |
| Sol Ring | 1.0 | 100% |
| Tolarian Academy | 1.0 | 100% |
| Ancestral Recall | 1.0 | 99% |
| Force of Will | 4.0 | 99% |
| Karn, the Great Creator | 1.0 | 99% |
| Mox Emerald | 1.0 | 99% |
| Time Walk | 1.0 | 99% |
| Vexing Bauble | 1.0 | 99% |
| Urza's Saga | 1.0 | 98% |
| Tinker | 1.0 | 98% |
| Ancient Tomb | 4.0 | 94% |
| Sink into Stupor | 3.5 | 94% |
| Grim Monolith | 2.8 | 93% |
| The One Ring | 4.0 | 76% |
| Mishra's Workshop | 4.0 | 76% |
| Time Vault | 1.0 | 76% |
| Manifold Key | 1.1 | 75% |
| Coveted Jewel | 4.0 | 73% |
| Phyrexian Metamorph | 4.0 | 73% |
| Tezzeret, Cruel Captain | 2.7 | 72% |
| Talon Gates of Madara | 1.1 | 69% |
| Otawara, Soaring City | 1.0 | 68% |
| Island | 2.3 | 64% |
| Trinisphere | 1.0 | 49% |
| Stock Up | 3.0 | 48% |
| Transmute Artifact | 2.9 | 39% |
| Mystic Forge | 1.0 | 34% |
| Lodestone Golem | 1.0 | 29% |
| Sensei's Divining Top | 1.0 | 29% |
| Mox Opal | 1.1 | 27% |
| Mental Misstep | 1.0 | 25% |
| Bolas's Citadel | 1.0 | 22% |
Typical Vintage Paradoxical Outcome sideboard
Built from sideboard adoption across 160 decklists in the last 90 days.
Full sideboard card play rate
Per-card sideboard adoption across 160 decklists in the last 90 days. Click a row to filter decklists.
| Card | Avg copies | % |
|---|---|---|
| Grafdigger's Cage | 1.2 | 75% |
| Wurmcoil Engine | 1.6 | 72% |
| Argentum Masticore | 3.1 | 71% |
| Pithing Needle | 1.0 | 71% |
| Hullbreacher | 1.9 | 46% |
| Mindbreak Trap | 1.8 | 46% |
| Stonecoil Serpent | 2.0 | 41% |
| Defense Grid | 3.1 | 36% |
| Dismember | 1.8 | 29% |
| Mycosynth Lattice | 1.0 | 29% |
| Talon Gates of Madara | 1.7 | 28% |
| Force of Negation | 1.8 | 26% |
| Tormod's Crypt | 1.0 | 24% |
| Void Mirror | 2.0 | 24% |
| Trinisphere | 1.0 | 24% |
| Commandeer | 3.2 | 23% |
| Lodestone Golem | 1.0 | 21% |
| Mental Misstep | 1.0 | 19% |
| Azure Beastbinder | 3.8 | 18% |
| Liquimetal Coating | 1.0 | 18% |
| Urza, Lord High Artificer | 1.1 | 13% |
| Hurkyl's Recall | 1.4 | 11% |
| Portable Hole | 1.1 | 9% |
| Chalice of the Void | 1.0 | 6% |
| Consign to Memory | 1.8 | 6% |
| Portal to Phyrexia | 1.0 | 6% |
| Soul-Guide Lantern | 1.4 | 6% |
| Swords to Plowshares | 2.2 | 6% |
| Kappa Cannoneer | 2.1 | 5% |
| Disruptor Flute | 2.0 | 4% |
| Chain of Vapor | 1.0 | 4% |
| The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale | 1.2 | 4% |
| Flusterstorm | 1.0 | 3% |
| Sphinx of the Steel Wind | 1.0 | 3% |
| The Mightstone and Weakstone | 2.0 | 3% |
| Unable to Scream | 2.0 | 3% |
| Leyline of the Void | 3.8 | 3% |
| Petrified Hamlet | 2.0 | 3% |
| Blightsteel Colossus | 1.0 | 2% |
| Prismatic Ending | 1.0 | 2% |
Paradoxical Outcome Vintage FAQ
Is Paradoxical Outcome good in Vintage right now?
It's a fringe pick right now at 4.3% of decklists in the last two weeks, with 1 Challenge win and 2 Top 8s. Best recent finish: 1st (8-1) at Vintage Challenge 32 on Jul 25, 2026.
What are the key cards in Vintage Paradoxical Outcome?
Nearly every list runs Black Lotus, Mana Crypt, Mana Vault, and Mox Jet (99%+ of Vintage Paradoxical Outcome decklists in the last 90 days). Builds split 80 Mono-Blue vs 4 Dimir lists.
What's a typical Vintage Paradoxical Outcome sideboard?
The most common Vintage Paradoxical Outcome sideboard cards over the last 90 days: Grafdigger's Cage (75% of lists), Wurmcoil Engine (72% of lists), Argentum Masticore (71% of lists), and Pithing Needle (71% of lists). Time Vault is the fastest riser — new this window at 27% of sideboards.
Are there different builds of Vintage Paradoxical Outcome?
What does Uniqueness mean?
Uniqueness rates each list from band 1 (Stock) through band 10 (Unique). Higher means a list is more unusual vs recent peers of this strategy.
How many Vintage Paradoxical Outcome decklists are there?
Decklist Data tracks 836 Vintage Paradoxical Outcome decklists all-time (11 in the last 14 days) from Magic: The Gathering Online (MTGO) Challenges and Leagues. New results are indexed automatically — latest Paradoxical Outcome result Jul 28, 2026.