Vintage Paradoxical Outcome
Paradoxical Outcome is a Vintage combo strategy that usually features Black Lotus, Mana Crypt, and Mana Vault.
Meta
4.3%
Colors
Shift
−5%
Variability
Medium
747 decks in Stock
| Date | View Decklist | Player | Event | Place | Record | Uniqueness | Colors |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6 | View | whiterenren | Vintage Challenge 32 2026-02-06 | 3rd | 6-2 | Standard · band 4 of 10 · 4 | |
| Feb 6 | View | YES_i_accept_SPLIT_ | Vintage Challenge 32 2026-02-06 | 4th | 5-3 | Familiar · band 3 of 10 · 3 | |
| Feb 6 | View | 4FunNoWin | Vintage Challenge 32 2026-02-06 | 7th | 5-2 | Stock · band 1 of 10 · 1 | |
| Feb 5 | View | wongdeck | Vintage Challenge 32 | 1st | 8-1 | Familiar · band 3 of 10 · 3 | |
| Feb 5 | View | DrPP | Vintage Challenge 32 | 24th | 3-3 | Off-beat · band 8 of 10 · 8 | |
| Feb 5 | View | Munchlax446 | Vintage League | — | 5-0 | Familiar · band 3 of 10 · 3 | |
| Feb 5 | View | Sergitor | Vintage League | — | 5-0 | Familiar · band 3 of 10 · 3 | |
| Feb 4 | View | Aaa258 | Vintage League | — | 5-0 | Spicy · band 9 of 10 · 9 | |
| Feb 2 | View | chasehoppe | Vintage League | — | 5-0 | Off-beat · band 8 of 10 · 8 | |
| Feb 1 | View | Munchlax446 | Vintage Challenge 32 2026-02-01 | 8th | 4-2 | Familiar · band 3 of 10 · 3 | |
| Feb 1 | View | Sarlanga | Vintage Challenge 32 2026-02-01 | 9th | 3-2 | Stock · band 1 of 10 · 1 | |
| Feb 1 | View | TrueHero | Vintage Challenge 32 2026-02-01 | 30th | 0-2 | Off-beat · band 8 of 10 · 8 | |
| Feb 1 | View | MathiasHardStyle | Vintage League | — | 5-0 | Stock · band 1 of 10 · 1 | |
| Jan 31 | View | whiterenren | Vintage Challenge 32 2026-01-31 | 5th | 5-2 | Standard · band 4 of 10 · 4 | |
| Jan 31 | View | MayhemDJ | Vintage Challenge 32 2026-01-31 | 7th | 4-3 | Off-beat · band 8 of 10 · 8 | |
| Jan 31 | View | noprops | Vintage League | — | 5-0 | Adapted · band 6 of 10 · 6 | |
| Jan 31 | View | NathanLipetz | Vintage League | — | 5-0 | Standard · band 4 of 10 · 4 | |
| Jan 30 | View | hulk3rules | Vintage Challenge 32 | 8th | 4-3 | Stock · band 1 of 10 · 1 | |
| Jan 30 | View | crK | Vintage Challenge 32 | 27th | 1-4 | Adapted · band 6 of 10 · 6 | |
| Jan 29 | View | TrueHero | Vintage Challenge 32 | 12th | 4-2 | Tuned · band 5 of 10 · 5 | |
| Jan 29 | View | MarcoIa | Vintage Challenge 32 | 23rd | 3-3 | Stock · band 1 of 10 · 1 | |
| Jan 29 | View | crK | Vintage League 2026-01-29 | — | 5-0 | Adapted · band 6 of 10 · 6 | |
| Jan 29 | View | MathiasHardStyle | Vintage League 2026-01-29 | — | 5-0 | Stock · band 1 of 10 · 1 | |
| Jan 29 | View | Cioffo86 | Vintage League 2026-01-29 | — | 5-0 | Off-beat · band 8 of 10 · 8 | |
| Jan 28 | View | crK | Vintage League 2026-01-28 | — | 5-0 | Adapted · band 6 of 10 · 6 |
Paradoxical Outcome has slipped from ~8.8% to 4.3% of the Vintage metagame over the last 90 days.
Meta share, last 90 days
Slipped from ~8.8% to 4.3% · trend line is 3-week smoothed
Approaches, last 90 days
Weekly breakdown of lists by automatically detected approach
Rising Paradoxical Outcome cards
Cards gaining share within Paradoxical Outcome vs the prior 14 days, adjusted for format-wide play rate.
Maindeck
| Card | Was | Now | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Force of Negation | New | 36% | +36.4% |
| Hurkyl's Recall | New | 27% | +27.3% |
| Talon Gates of Madara | 25% | 73% | +47.7% |
| Lodestone Golem | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| Otawara, Soaring City | 25% | 45% | +20.5% |
| The Fantasticar | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| Lotus Petal | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| City of Traitors | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| Mox Opal | 33% | 45% | +12.1% |
| Manifold Key | 42% | 64% | +22% |
| Gitaxian Probe | 17% | 27% | +10.6% |
Sideboard
| Card | Was | Now | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Time Vault | New | 27% | +27.3% |
| Urza's Saga | New | 27% | +27.3% |
| Mental Misstep | New | 27% | +27.3% |
| Pithing Needle | 42% | 73% | +31.1% |
| Grafdigger's Cage | 33% | 73% | +39.4% |
| Hurkyl's Recall | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| Tormod's Crypt | 33% | 45% | +12.1% |
| Mycosynth Lattice | 8% | 27% | +18.9% |
| Wurmcoil Engine | 58% | 73% | +14.4% |
| Force of Negation | 17% | 27% | +10.6% |
| Dismember | 17% | 27% | +10.6% |
| Talon Gates of Madara | 75% | 82% | +6.8% |
Typical Vintage Paradoxical Outcome maindeck cards
Maindeck adoption across 160 decklists in the last 90 days. Click a row to filter decklists.
| Card | Avg copies | % |
|---|---|---|
| Black Lotus | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mana Crypt | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mana Vault | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mox Jet | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mox Pearl | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mox Ruby | 1.0 | 100% |
| Mox Sapphire | 1.0 | 100% |
| Paradoxical Outcome | 3.1 | 100% |
| Sol Ring | 1.0 | 100% |
| Tolarian Academy | 1.0 | 100% |
| Ancestral Recall | 1.0 | 99% |
| Force of Will | 4.0 | 99% |
| Karn, the Great Creator | 1.0 | 99% |
| Mox Emerald | 1.0 | 99% |
| Time Walk | 1.0 | 99% |
| Vexing Bauble | 1.0 | 99% |
| Urza's Saga | 1.0 | 98% |
| Tinker | 1.0 | 98% |
| Ancient Tomb | 4.0 | 94% |
| Sink into Stupor | 3.5 | 94% |
| Grim Monolith | 2.8 | 93% |
| The One Ring | 4.0 | 76% |
| Mishra's Workshop | 4.0 | 76% |
| Time Vault | 1.0 | 76% |
| Manifold Key | 1.1 | 75% |
| Coveted Jewel | 4.0 | 73% |
| Phyrexian Metamorph | 4.0 | 73% |
| Tezzeret, Cruel Captain | 2.7 | 72% |
| Talon Gates of Madara | 1.1 | 69% |
| Otawara, Soaring City | 1.0 | 68% |
| Island | 2.3 | 64% |
| Trinisphere | 1.0 | 49% |
| Stock Up | 3.0 | 48% |
| Transmute Artifact | 2.9 | 39% |
| Mystic Forge | 1.0 | 34% |
| Lodestone Golem | 1.0 | 29% |
| Sensei's Divining Top | 1.0 | 29% |
| Mox Opal | 1.1 | 27% |
| Mental Misstep | 1.0 | 25% |
| Bolas's Citadel | 1.0 | 22% |
Typical Vintage Paradoxical Outcome sideboard
Built from sideboard adoption across 160 decklists in the last 90 days.
Full sideboard card play rate
Per-card sideboard adoption across 160 decklists in the last 90 days. Click a row to filter decklists.
| Card | Avg copies | % |
|---|---|---|
| Grafdigger's Cage | 1.2 | 75% |
| Wurmcoil Engine | 1.6 | 72% |
| Argentum Masticore | 3.1 | 71% |
| Pithing Needle | 1.0 | 71% |
| Hullbreacher | 1.9 | 46% |
| Mindbreak Trap | 1.8 | 46% |
| Stonecoil Serpent | 2.0 | 41% |
| Defense Grid | 3.1 | 36% |
| Dismember | 1.8 | 29% |
| Mycosynth Lattice | 1.0 | 29% |
| Talon Gates of Madara | 1.7 | 28% |
| Force of Negation | 1.8 | 26% |
| Tormod's Crypt | 1.0 | 24% |
| Void Mirror | 2.0 | 24% |
| Trinisphere | 1.0 | 24% |
| Commandeer | 3.2 | 23% |
| Lodestone Golem | 1.0 | 21% |
| Mental Misstep | 1.0 | 19% |
| Azure Beastbinder | 3.8 | 18% |
| Liquimetal Coating | 1.0 | 18% |
| Urza, Lord High Artificer | 1.1 | 13% |
| Hurkyl's Recall | 1.4 | 11% |
| Portable Hole | 1.1 | 9% |
| Chalice of the Void | 1.0 | 6% |
| Consign to Memory | 1.8 | 6% |
| Portal to Phyrexia | 1.0 | 6% |
| Soul-Guide Lantern | 1.4 | 6% |
| Swords to Plowshares | 2.2 | 6% |
| Kappa Cannoneer | 2.1 | 5% |
| Disruptor Flute | 2.0 | 4% |
| Chain of Vapor | 1.0 | 4% |
| The Tabernacle at Pendrell Vale | 1.2 | 4% |
| Flusterstorm | 1.0 | 3% |
| Sphinx of the Steel Wind | 1.0 | 3% |
| The Mightstone and Weakstone | 2.0 | 3% |
| Unable to Scream | 2.0 | 3% |
| Leyline of the Void | 3.8 | 3% |
| Petrified Hamlet | 2.0 | 3% |
| Blightsteel Colossus | 1.0 | 2% |
| Prismatic Ending | 1.0 | 2% |